RE-THINK TANK
Revisiting the News. Reassessing the Analysis.
What did analysts expect at the beginning of 2026? What has actually happened? Explore seven regional forecasts, examine the evidence, and reconsider the assumptions behind the predictions.
Forecast for 2026
Begin with a broad geopolitical outlook: ten trends from The Economist’s The World Ahead 2026, followed by forecasts from World Politics Review and ECFR. Identify the predictions, then explore how they relate to the seven regional investigations below.
Two Geopolitical Outlooks for 2026
Expert assessments to revisit and reassess
The World in 2026: A Video Podcast Special
19 December 2025 · 33 min
The World, Rewired: A Geopolitical Outlook for 2026 and Beyond
29 January 2026
The World in 2026 A Chatham House
The World Rewired A Geopolitical Outlook for 2026 and Beyond
How to re-think a prediction
One analytical framework for every region
Identify the forecast
What did the author expect? What evidence and assumptions supported the prediction?
Check the evidence
Find dated reports on subsequent developments. Separate observed facts from interpretations.
Reassess the argument
What was supported, contradicted, or remains unresolved? Why?
Look ahead
Offer a cautious assessment of implications and the factors to watch next.
2026 · The Prediction Archive
Choose your regional investigation
The Elections That Will Shape Europe in 2026
An early look at European elections and their potential significance for the EU’s political direction.
Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping North America in 2026
Trade policy, USMCA, regional relations, and changing American foreign-policy priorities.
Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping Latin America in 2026
Regional political developments, trade diversification, security and strategic competition.
Alternative reading: Latin America Outlook 2026 (FIU) ↗
Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping APAC in 2026
US–China competition, trade uncertainty, technological sovereignty and regional responses.
Middle East Forecast for 2026
Scenarios for regional security, possible stabilisation and renewed escalation.
What to Watch in Africa in 2026
Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan and regional insecurity: expectations at the start of the year.
OUTLOOK South Caucasus 2026
Regional alignments, connectivity and the changing role of external powers in the South Caucasus.