{"id":4303,"date":"2026-11-14T01:00:50","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T22:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/?page_id=4303"},"modified":"2026-11-14T02:04:35","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T23:04:35","slug":"re-think-tank-2026-under-review","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/?page_id=4303","title":{"rendered":"RE-THINK TANK"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- PART 1: Intro, forecast and two video information cards. 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Arial,sans-serif;color:#425766}.rtt-wrap .rtt-video-guide strong{color:var(--wine)}@media(max-width:700px){.rtt-wrap .rtt-video-grid{grid-template-columns:1fr}.rtt-wrap .rtt-video-feature{grid-column:auto;grid-template-columns:1fr}.rtt-wrap .rtt-video-feature .rtt-video-head{border-right:0;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}}<br \/>\n\/* Balanced two-column video investigation cards *\/<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-grid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));gap:20px;align-items:stretch}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video{display:flex;flex-direction:column;min-width:0;border-radius:17px;box-shadow:0 4px 18px rgba(38,60,75,.04)}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-head{min-height:184px;padding:25px 27px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;justify-content:center;background:linear-gradient(120deg,#eaf0f3,#e6eee9);border-right:0;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video h3{font-size:clamp(20px,2.3vw,25px);line-height:1.23;margin:14px 0 0}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-body{padding:22px 27px 25px;flex:1;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:15px}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-body p{margin:0;font-size:13px}<br \/>\n.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-prompt{margin:0;font-size:14px;line-height:1.65}<br \/>\n@media(max-width:700px){.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-grid{grid-template-columns:1fr}.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-head{min-height:0;padding:24px}.rtt-wrap .rtt-videos .rtt-video-body{padding:20px 24px}}<br \/>\n<\/style>\n<header class=\"rtt-hero\">\n<div class=\"rtt-eyebrow\">Analytical Commentary \u00b7 Retrospective Investigations<\/div>\n<h1>RE-THINK TANK<\/h1>\n<p class=\"rtt-subtitle\">Revisiting the News. Reassessing the Analysis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"rtt-intro\">What did analysts expect at the beginning of 2026? What has actually happened? Explore seven regional forecasts, examine the evidence, and reconsider the assumptions behind the predictions.<\/p>\n<div class=\"rtt-metrics\"><span>07 REGIONS<\/span><span>07 FORECASTS<\/span><span>2026 UNDER REVIEW<\/span><\/div>\n<\/header>\n<section class=\"rtt-feature\" aria-labelledby=\"rtt-feature-title\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"rtt-eyebrow\">Featured reading \u00b7 Global outlook<\/div>\n<h2 id=\"rtt-feature-title\">Forecast for 2026<\/h2>\n<p>Begin with a broad geopolitical outlook: ten trends from <em>The Economist<\/em>\u2019s <em>The World Ahead 2026<\/em>, followed by forecasts from World Politics Review and ECFR. Identify the predictions, then explore how they relate to the seven regional investigations below.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/?page_id=4234\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Explore the forecasts \u2197<\/a><\/section>\n<section class=\"rtt-videos\" aria-labelledby=\"rtt-videos-title\">\n<div class=\"rtt-sectionhead\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"rtt-eyebrow\">Video investigations<\/div>\n<h2 id=\"rtt-videos-title\">Two Geopolitical Outlooks for 2026<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Expert assessments to revisit and reassess<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-video-grid\">\n<article class=\"rtt-video\">\n<div class=\"rtt-video-head\"><span>GLOBAL FORECAST \u00b7 CHATHAM HOUSE<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>The World in 2026: A Video Podcast Special<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-video-body\">\n<p>19 December 2025 \u00b7 33 min<\/p>\n<div class=\"rtt-video-prompt\"><strong>RE-THINK:<\/strong> How accurately did the experts anticipate the main geopolitical risks of 2026?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-video\">\n<div class=\"rtt-video-head\"><span>GEOPOLITICAL ALIGNMENTS \u00b7 STIMSON CENTER<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>The World, Rewired: A Geopolitical Outlook for 2026 and Beyond<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-video-body\">\n<p>29 January 2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"rtt-video-prompt\"><strong>RE-THINK:<\/strong> Which assumptions about changing alliances stood up to scrutiny?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">The World in 2026 A Chatham House <\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"vctl-facade\" data-src=\"http:\/\/kaf1.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/The-World-in-2026-A-Chatham-House-video-podcast.mp4\" aria-label=\"Play video\" data-type=\"video\/mp4\"><span class=\"vctl-facade__shade\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"vctl-facade__play\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">The World Rewired A Geopolitical Outlook for 2026 and Beyond<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"vctl-facade\" data-src=\"http:\/\/kaf1.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/The-World-Rewired-A-Geopolitical-Outlook-for-2026-and-Beyond.mkv\" aria-label=\"Play video\" data-type=\"video\/x-matroska\"><span class=\"vctl-facade__shade\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"vctl-facade__play\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/button><\/figure>\n\n<!-- PART 2: Analytical framework, seven regions, student assignment. Paste into a second Custom HTML block AFTER your video embeds. -->\n<section id=\"rtt-2026-archive\" class=\"rtt-wrap\">\n<div class=\"rtt-sectionhead\"><h2>How to re-think a prediction<\/h2><p>One analytical framework for every region<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-steps\"><div class=\"rtt-step\"><div class=\"rtt-num\">01 \/ THEN<\/div><h3>Identify the forecast<\/h3><p>What did the author expect? What evidence and assumptions supported the prediction?<\/p><\/div><div class=\"rtt-step\"><div class=\"rtt-num\">02 \/ NOW<\/div><h3>Check the evidence<\/h3><p>Find dated reports on subsequent developments. Separate observed facts from interpretations.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"rtt-step\"><div class=\"rtt-num\">03 \/ RE-THINK<\/div><h3>Reassess the argument<\/h3><p>What was supported, contradicted, or remains unresolved? Why?<\/p><\/div><div class=\"rtt-step\"><div class=\"rtt-num\">04 \/ NEXT<\/div><h3>Look ahead<\/h3><p>Offer a cautious assessment of implications and the factors to watch next.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-sectionhead\"><h2>2026 \u00b7 The Prediction Archive<\/h2><p>Choose your regional investigation<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-filters\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Filter forecasts by region\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"all\" aria-pressed=\"true\">All regions<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"europe\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Europe &amp; UK<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"north\" aria-pressed=\"false\">North America<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"south\" aria-pressed=\"false\">South America<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"asia\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Asia-Pacific<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"middle\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Middle East<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"africa\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Africa<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"rtt-filter\" data-region=\"cis\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Russia &amp; CIS<\/button><\/div>\n<div class=\"rtt-grid\">\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"europe\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">01 \u00b7 Europe &amp; UK<\/div><h3>The Elections That Will Shape Europe in 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">Euronews \u00b7 31 December 2025<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">An early look at European elections and their potential significance for the EU&#8217;s political direction.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>How far did the year&#8217;s elections reshape Europe&#8217;s political agenda and geopolitical position?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2025\/12\/31\/the-elections-that-will-shape-europe-in-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"north\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">02 \u00b7 North America<\/div><h3>Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping North America in 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence \u00b7 30 January 2026<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">Trade policy, USMCA, regional relations, and changing American foreign-policy priorities.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>How did US policy choices affect relations with Canada and Mexico and the region&#8217;s economic outlook?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/research\/2026\/01\/key-themes-shaping-north-america-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"south\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">03 \u00b7 South America<\/div><h3>Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping Latin America in 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence \u00b7 27 January 2026<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">Regional political developments, trade diversification, security and strategic competition.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>Did Latin American countries diversify their partnerships as anticipated?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/research\/2026\/01\/key-themes-shaping-latin-america-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><p class=\"rtt-note\">Alternative reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/gordoninstitute.fiu.edu\/news-events\/the-policy-spotlight\/2026\/latin-america-outlook-2026.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Latin America Outlook 2026 (FIU) \u2197<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"asia\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">04 \u00b7 Asia-Pacific<\/div><h3>Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping APAC in 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence \u00b7 21 January 2026<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">US\u2013China competition, trade uncertainty, technological sovereignty and regional responses.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>Did strategic competition encourage fragmentation, adaptation or new cooperation?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/research\/2026\/01\/key-themes-shaping-apac-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"middle\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">05 \u00b7 Middle East<\/div><h3>Middle East Forecast for 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">The Soufan Center \u00b7 9 January 2026<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">Scenarios for regional security, possible stabilisation and renewed escalation.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>Which warnings about conflict and escalation were supported by subsequent developments?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/thesoufancenter.org\/intelbrief-2026-january-9\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"africa\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">06 \u00b7 Africa<\/div><h3>What to Watch in Africa in 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">Foreign Policy \u00b7 Nosmot Gbadamosi \u00b7 31 December 2025<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan and regional insecurity: expectations at the start of the year.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>Which regional security risks were anticipated, and what developments changed the outlook?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2025\/12\/31\/africa-2026-predictions-elections-ethiopia-insecurity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<article class=\"rtt-card\" data-region=\"cis\"><div class=\"rtt-cardtop\"><\/div><div class=\"rtt-cardbody\"><div class=\"rtt-region\">07 \u00b7 Russia &amp; CIS \/ Post-Soviet Space<\/div><h3>OUTLOOK South Caucasus 2026<\/h3><div class=\"rtt-meta\">bne IntelliNews \u00b7 7 January 2026<\/div><p class=\"rtt-desc\">Regional alignments, connectivity and the changing role of external powers in the South Caucasus.<\/p><div class=\"rtt-question\"><strong>RE-THINK QUESTION<\/strong>How did Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia&#8217;s external relationships develop during 2026?<\/div><a class=\"rtt-link\" href=\"https:\/\/new.intellinews.com\/articles\/outlook-south-caucasus-2026-418694\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Read original forecast \u2197<\/a><\/div><\/article>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"rtt-task\"><div class=\"rtt-eyebrow\">Student assignment <\/div><h2>From Prediction to Assessment<\/h2><p>Choose one forecast from your assigned region. Identify two or three specific expectations and compare them with evidence published later in 2026. Explain not just <em>whether<\/em> the forecast was accurate, but <em>why<\/em> the reasoning did or did not hold.<\/p><ul><li><strong>THEN:<\/strong> What did the author expect?<\/li><li><strong>NOW:<\/strong> What evidence is available?<\/li><li><strong>RE-THINK:<\/strong> Which assumptions stood the test of time?<\/li><li><strong>NEXT:<\/strong> What remains uncertain?<\/li><\/ul><p><strong>Evidence rule:<\/strong> Use at least two dated news reports, distinguish facts from interpretations, and acknowledge unresolved predictions.<\/p><\/aside>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analytical Commentary \u00b7 Retrospective Investigations RE-THINK TANK Revisiting the News. Reassessing the Analysis. What did analysts expect at the beginning of 2026? What has actually happened? Explore seven regional forecasts, examine the evidence, and reconsider the assumptions behind the predictions. 07 REGIONS07 FORECASTS2026 UNDER REVIEW Featured reading \u00b7 Global outlook Forecast for 2026 Begin with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_regular_price":[],"currency_symbol":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-4303","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"post_slider_layout_featured_media_urls":{"thumbnail":"","post_slider_layout_landscape_large":"","post_slider_layout_portrait_large":"","post_slider_layout_square_large":"","post_slider_layout_landscape":"","post_slider_layout_portrait":"","post_slider_layout_square":"","full":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4303"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4303\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4327,"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4303\/revisions\/4327"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kaf1.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}